Out of Bounds edges Secret Circle in Sham Stakes
Horseracing Betting Lines
01/07/2012 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lightly regarded Out of Bounds caught the favorite Secret Circle at the wire to win Saturday's $100,000 Sham Stakes at Santa Anita Park. The early season stakes for three-year-olds begins Santa Anita's Kentucky Derby preps.
Setting the pace in the mile event was 14-1 longshot Longview Drive with the 1-2 favorite Secret Circle stalking the leader. Out of Bounds, ridden by Garrett Gomez, was sitting third or fourth in the five-horse field.
At the top of the stretch Secret Circle, the 2011 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint champ, had the lead as Out of Bounds gained ground from the outside, moving into second. Trained by Eoin Harty, Out of Bounds drove down the stretch to finally catch the favorite just before the finish.
Out of Bounds registered a half-length victory over the favorite with Longview Drive holding on to third. Getting fourth was Handsome Mike with 2-1 second choice Hierro in fifth. Senor Rain was scratched.
The time for the Sham Stakes was 1:34.56 on a fast track.
"He did everything really professional for a horse that's only run a couple of times," noted Gomez who has six stakes wins overall at the current Santa Anita meet. "I was excited by his last couple races. He's such a good-sized colt and I thought the two turns would really help him because he's such a long- striding horse. It's just a matter of getting him to understand how to do it the right way. I think he's got enough ability to do it. He showed us all today. He traveled really well, did things the right way, and finished up well."
Out of Bounds, owned by Darley Stable, won for the second time in three starts and picked up $60,000 with Saturday's win. His earnings now stand at $89,700.
"He's a very big horse, but he's a gentle giant," the winning trainer said. "He's come around mentally as well as physically, and sometimes it takes a while for both to catch up. Lucky this horse has the mental attributes as well as the physical attributes."
Out of Bounds returned $22.60, $5.80 and $4.40. Secret Circle paid $2.80 and $2.10, and Longview Drive paid $4.00 to show.
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Teams that should be in: Stanford
Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds | |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do: Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney. Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson. Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable. Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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